Jump to content

2024 Uruguayan general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2024 Uruguayan general election

← 2019
2029 →
Presidential election
27 October 2024 (first round)
24 November 2024 (second round)
Registered2,727,120
Turnout89.60% (first round) Decrease 0,52pp
 
Nominee Yamandú Orsi Álvaro Delgado
Party MPP PN
Alliance Broad Front Republican Coalition
Running mate Carolina Cosse Valeria Ripoll

Results by departament (first round)

President before election

Luis Lacalle Pou
PN

Elected President

TBD

Parliamentary election

All 99 seats in the Chamber of Representatives
All 30 seats in the Senate
Party Leader Vote % Seats +/–
Chamber of Representatives
Broad Front Yamandú Orsi 43.94 48 +6
National Party Álvaro Delgado 26.77 29 −1
Colorado Party Andrés Ojeda 16.85 17 +4
Sovereign Identity Gustavo Salle 2.83 2 New
Cabildo Abierto Guido Manini Ríos 2.58 2 −9
Independent Party Pablo Mieres 1.80 1 0
Senate
Broad Front Yamandú Orsi 43.94 16 +3
National Party Álvaro Delgado 28.15 9 −1
Colorado Party Andrés Ojeda 16.85 5 +1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

General elections were held in Uruguay on 27 October 2024.[1][2] Since no presidential candidate received a majority in the first round of voting, a runoff will take place on 24 November 2024, pitting Yamandú Orsi of the Broad Front against Álvaro Delgado of the Multicolor Coalition.

The election also coincided with two constitutional referendums on reforms to the social security system that would lower the retirement age, increase payouts and transfer privately managed savings to a state-run trust,[3] and allowing for nighttime police raids in homes.[4]

Background

[edit]

Incumbent President Luis Lacalle Pou, who won the 2019 elections, cannot run again as the constitution bars a president from immediate reelection. As a result, the governing National Party has to nominate a new candidate.

Lacalle Pou took office in 2020, heading the Multicolor Coalition, a big tent political alliance formed after October 2019 first round that remains active in the 2024 elections under the name Republican Coalition. His cabinet is composed of leaders from the member parties of the coalition, which holds a majority in both chambers of Parliament, allowing it to push through various legislative initiatives despite the Broad Front opposition.

During the period from 2020 to 2024, the government of Luis Lacalle Pou has faced various controversies and challenges. These have included issues related to the handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, economic policies, corruption scandals and social issues such as education reform and security.

Electoral system

[edit]

Voting in Uruguay is compulsory and extends to all citizens aged 18 and over. Those who cannot vote without a valid reason will face a fine or be sanctioned with the inability to carry out various public procedures. According to the Constitution of Uruguay, voting is not only a right of the citizen but above all, it is a duty as a citizen, as well as an obligation.

The President of Uruguay is elected using the two-round system, with a run-off held between the two most-voted candidates if no candidate receives 50% of the vote in the first round. The 30 members of the Senate are elected by proportional representation in a single nationwide constituency. The vice president, elected on the same ballot as the president, becomes president of the Senate, with his vote being determinant in case of tie.[5] The 99 members of the Chamber of Representatives are elected by proportional representation in 19 multi-member constituencies based on the 19 departments. Seats are allocated using the highest averages method.[6]

The elections are held using the double simultaneous vote method, whereby voters cast a single vote for the party of their choice for all three seats of Presidency, Senate and Chamber of Representatives.

Parties and candidates

[edit]

Presidential primaries were held on 30 June 2024 to nominate the presidential candidate for every political party. Fourteen political parties surpassed the minimum of 500 valid votes in the internal elections required by the Electoral Court to participate in the general elections. Of these fourteen, only eleven ultimately participated in these elections (the same number of parties as in the previous elections of 2019, but with different parties).

Below are the parties that surpassed the 2024 primary elections, listed by their results in the 2019 general elections.

Summary

[edit]
Party Ideology 2019 result Status
First round votes (%) Chamber Senate Run-off votes (%)
National Party
Partido Nacional
Conservatism
Christian democracy
Social liberalism
29.70%
30 / 99
10 / 30
50.79% Government
Broad Front
Frente Amplio
Social democracy
Democratic socialism
Communism
40.49%
42 / 99
13 / 30
49.21% Opposition
Colorado Party
Partido Colorado
Liberalism 12.80%
13 / 99
4 / 30
Did not advance Government
Open Cabildo
Cabildo Abierto
Right-wing populism
National conservatism
11.46%
11 / 99
3 / 30
Did not advance Government
Intransigent Radical Ecologist Party
Partido Ecologista Radical Intransigente
Green liberalism 1.43%
1 / 99
0 / 30
Did not advance Opposition
Independent Party
Partido Independiente
Christian humanism
Christian democracy
1.01%
1 / 99
0 / 30
Did not advance Government
Popular Assembly (PU-WF)
Asamblea Popular (UP-FT)
Marxism
Trotskyism
0.90%
0 / 99
0 / 30
Did not advance Extra-parliamentary
Green Animalist Party
Partido Verde Animalista
Green politics 0.83%
0 / 99
0 / 30
Did not advance Extra-parliamentary
Sovereign Identity
Identidad Soberana
Anti-Globalism
Eco-nationalism
Did not contest
Environmental Constitutional Party
Partido Constitucional Ambientalista
Constitutionalism
Eco-nationalism
Did not contest
For Necessary Changes
Por los Cambios Necesarios
Did not contest
Republican Advance Party
Partido Avanzar Republicano
Liberalism Did not contest
Enough is Enough Party
Partido Basta Ya
Did not contest
Republican Coalition
Coalición Republicana
Big tent Did not contest

Candidates in first round

[edit]

Parties with parliamentary representation

[edit]
Party Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate
Name
Birth date and place
Prior experience Party faction Name Prior experience Party faction
National Party
Álvaro Delgado
b. 1969
(age 55)
Montevideo
Veterinarian
Secretary of the Presidency (2020–2023)
See more
(Aire Fresco) Valeria Ripoll
Unionist
General Secretary of ADEOM (2017–2023)

(D Centro)
Broad Front
Yamandú Orsi
b. 1967
Former teacher
Intendant of the Canelones Department (2015–2024)
See more
(MPP) Carolina Cosse Engineer
Intendant of Montevideo (2020–present)

(La Amplia)
Colorado Party
Factions
  • Vamos Uruguay! – 10
  • Lista 15 – 15
  • Lista 25 – 25
  • Ciudadanos – 600
  • Batllistas – 2025
  • Tercera Vía – 9007
  • LAURA Batllista – 1616
  • Corriente Constructora Liberal – 1716
  • Uruguay Es Posible – 321
Andrés Ojeda
b. 1984
(age 40)
Montevideo
Criminal defense lawyer
See more
(Lista 25) Robert Silva
Lawyer
President of ANEP (2020–2023)
See more
  • 2019 vice presidential candidate under the Colorado Party
  • General secretary of the Central Directive Council (CODICEN) (1999–2005)
  • General secretary of the Council of Secondary Education (CES) (1996–1999)
(Ciudadanos)
Open Cabildo
Factions
  • Todos Con Manini – 510
  • Derecha y Punto – 411
  • Encuentro Nacional Cristiano – 7001
  • La Gente de Manini – 1850
  • Nacimos Con El Prócer – 1815
  • Vamos Con Todo – 202
  • Proyecto Artiguista – 1829
  • Vamos Con Sodano – 48
  • Amanecer Artiguista – 7575
  • La Lista Del Personal Militar – 2614
  • Independientes al Cambio – 47
  • Volver al Origen – 2701
  • Vivir Mejor – 100
Guido Manini Ríos
b. 1958
(age 65)
Montevideo
Retired general officer
Senator of the Republic (2020–present)
(Todos con Manini) Lorena Quintana Family doctor
Director of the SATP program of the MSP (2023–present)
See more
  • Coordinator of the Adolescent and Youth Health Area at the MSP (2018-2023)
(Encuentro Nacional Cristiano)
Intransigent Radical Ecologist Party
Factions
  • Ecologistas – 1330
  • Movimiento de los Comunes – 696
César Vega
b. 1962
(age 62)
Paysandú
Agronomist
National Representative for Montevideo (2020–present)
See more
(Ecologistas) Sergio Billiris
N/A
N/A
(Ecologistas)
Independent Party
Factions
  • Lista 909 - 909
  • Crecer – 1199
  • Libres – 980
  • Compromiso Republicano Independiente – 9909
  • Icemos – 2026
Pablo Mieres
b. 1959
(age 65)
Montevideo
Lawyer
Minister of Labour and Social Welfare (2020–2024)
See more
(Lista 909) Mónica Bottero
Journalist
Director of the National Institute for Women of the MIDES (2020–present)
See more
(Crecer)

Parties without parliamentary representation

[edit]
Party Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate
Name
Birth date and place
Prior experience Party faction Name
(Party sector)
Prior experience Party faction
Popular Assembly
Factions
  • Unidad Popular
    • Movimiento 26 de Marzo – 326
    • Partido Humanista – 1696
    • Partido Comunista Revolucionario – 960
    • MoDeJu – 3060
    • Movimiento AVANZAR – 13013
  • Partido de los Trabajadores – 1917
  • Frente de Trabajadores en Lucha – 565
Gonzalo Martínez
b. 1989
(age 35)
Montevideo
Student
Substitute National Representative for Montevideo (2015–2020)
(March 26 Movement) Andrea Revuelta
Teacher
Union member of the ADES
(Workers' Party)
Sovereign Identity
Factions
  • Nosotros mismos – 18010
Gustavo Salle
b. 1958
(age 66)
Montevideo
Lawyer
2019 presidential candidate under the Green Animalist Party
(Nosotros mismos) María Canoniero
(N/A)
N/A (Nosotros mismos)
Environmental Constitutional Party
Factions
  • Lista 1187 – 1187
Eduardo Lust
b. 1959
(age 65)
Paysandú
Constitutional Law professor
Senator of the Republic (2020–present)
(Lista 1187) Luján Criado N/A
N/A
(Lista 1187)

For Necessary Changes
Factions
  • Lista 2018 – 2018
Guillermo Franchi
b. na
N/A (Lista 2018) Virginia Vaz
(N/A)
Architect
2021 candidate for Director of the BPS representing retirees
(Lista 2018)

Republican Advance Party
Factions
  • Avanzar – 937
  • Partido Digital – 678
Martín Pérez Banchero
b. 1976
(age 48)
Colonia
Lawyer
National Director of Tourism at the Ministry of Tourism (2020–2021)
(Avanzar) Daniel Isi N/A
N/A
(Avanzar)

Disqualified before the first round

[edit]

Parties that did not manage to gather the minimum required of 251 delegates in their National Convention before August 31 to approve their presidential ticket.

Party Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate
Name
Birth date and place
Prior experience Party faction Name
(Party sector)
Prior experience Party faction
Green Animalist Party
Factions
  • Desafío – 409
  • EcoVida – 669
Rita Rodríguez
b. na
na
N/A
N/A
(Desafío) Agustín Helal N/A
N/A
(Desafío)

Withdrew after the primaries

[edit]
Party Presidential candidate Vice Presidential candidate Withdraw
Name
Birth date and place
Prior experience Party faction Name
(Party sector)
Prior experience Party faction Date
Reason

Enough is Enough Party
Factions
  • Basta Ya Uruguay – 39
Jorge Bonica
b. 1953
(age 70)
Jourlanist
Director of El Bocón newspaper

(Basta Ya Uruguay)
Not announced
August 9 Logistical and financial difficulties in carrying out the electoral campaign and convening their National Convention.

Republican Coalition
Factions
  • Lista 3002 – 3002
    • Partido Nacional
    • Partido Colorado
    • Cabildo Abierto
    • Partido de la Gente
    • Partido Independiente
Juan Carlos Otormín
b. na
N/A (Lista 3002) Not announced
August 18

Defeated in the primary elections

[edit]
Party Name
Birth date and place
Prior experience

Libertarian Party
Nelson Petkovich
b. na
N/A

Alternative Homeland
Javier Sciuto
b. na
N/A

Harmony Party
Ruben Martínez
b. na
N/A

Devolución
Pablo Paiva
b. na
N/A

Campaign slogans

[edit]
Candidate Party Original slogan
English translation
Ref
Yamandú Orsi Broad Front
El frente es amplio
"The front is broad"
[1]
Álvaro Delgado National Party
Reelegí un buen gobierno
"Re-elect a good government"
Andrés Ojeda Colorado Party
El nuevo presidente
"The new president"
[2]
Guido Manini Ríos Open Cabildo
A lo seguro
"Playing safe"
Pablo Mieres Independent Party
De acá, para arriba
"From here, upwards"
Gonzalo Martínez Popular Assembly
Sumate a construir la izquierda que lucha
"Join us in building the left that fights"
Gustavo Salle Identidad Soberana
Trinchera de los valores
"Bastion of values"
Eduardo Lust Constitutional Environmentalist Party Tu voz al parlamento
"Your voice in Parliament"
Martín Pérez Banchero Partido Avanzar Republicano Para avanzar hay que cambiar
"To move forward, we must change"

Endorsements

[edit]

Orsi is endorsed by former president José Mujica, who rarely made appearances during the campaign due to his treatment against cancer.[7] Following the first round, Andrés Ojeda expressed his support for Álvaro Delgado and the National Party.[8]

Opinion polls

[edit]

Party polling after primaries

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size FA
Orsi
PN
Delgado
PC
Ojeda
CA
Manini
PERI
Vega
PI
Mieres
UP
Martínez
IS
Salle
PCA
Lust
Others Und. Blank/Abs. Lead
Opción Consultores[9] 17–23 Oct 2024 1,218 45% 24% 16% 4% 1% 4% 2% 4% 21%
UPC[10] 18–22 Oct 2024 500 47% 25% 16% 3% 1% 4% 4% 22%
Factum[11] 16–22 Oct 2024 900 45.5% 25.1% 15.0% 4.1% 2.5% 0.7% 2.9% 0.6% 3.6% 20.4%
Equipos Consultores[12] 8–22 Oct 2024 2,327 41.4% 20.2% 16.1% 1.6% 0.9% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 11.5% 3.7% 21.2%
Cifra[13] 11–20 Oct 2024 1,000 44% 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 1% 2% 8% 21%
MPC Consultores[14] 7–11 Oct 2024 1,200 37% 20% 17% 5% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 15% 17%
Factum[15] 28 Sep–6 Oct 2024 900 44% 24% 17% 4% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3% 20%
Opción Consultores[16] 23 Sep–3 Oct 2024 1,232 42% 24% 12% 3% 2% 2% 1% 14% 18%
UPC[17] 27–30 Sep 2024 500 46% 24% 13% 2% 1% 3% 11% 22%
Cifra[18] 13–26 Sep 2024 1,001 44% 24% 14% 2% 1% 1% 1% 13% 20%
Equipos Consultores[19] 11–23 Sep 2024 2,000 43% 21% 15% 3% 1% 1% 1% 10% 5% 22%
MPC Consultores[20] 10–15 Sep 2024 1,260 34% 19% 15% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 19% 3% 15%
Factum[21] 31 Aug–9 Sep 2024 900 44% 27% 15% 4% 3% 3% 4% 17%
UPC[22] 29 Aug–1 Sep 2024 500 47% 24% 13% 2% 1% 2% 6% 5% 23%
Equipos Consultores[23] 14 Aug–1 Sep 2024 2,000 41% 22% 13% 3% 1% 1% 1% 13% 3% 19%
Cifra[24] 16–27 Aug 2024 1,003 44% 28% 11% 3% 1% 1% 1% 11% 16%
Opción Consultores[25] 15–27 Aug 2024 1,200 43% 23% 14% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 13% 20%
MPC Consultores[26] 1–10 Aug 2024 1,160 33% 20% 14% 7% 4% 19% 3% 13%
Factum[27] 28 Jul–8 Aug 2024 900 44% 26% 15% 5% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 3% 18%
Nómade[28] 29 Jul–4 Aug 2024 1,730 46.1% 25.3% 9.7% 1.3% 2.6% 9.4% 5.6% 20.8%
Equipos Consultores[29] 17–30 Jul 2024 1,207 43% 22% 11% 3% 1% 1% 1% 15% 3% 21%
Cifra[30] 17–28 Jul 2024 1,003 45% 27% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1% 13% 18%
Opción Consultores[31] 15–25 Jul 2024 1,000 42% 20% 13% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 16% 22%
MPC Consultores[32] 10–14 Jul 2024 1,000 33% 23% 9% 7% 3% 22% 3% 10%
UPC[33] 5–9 Jul 2024 500 48% 24% 11% 2% 1% 3% 5% 6% 24%

Party polling before primaries

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size FA PN PC CA PERI PG PI Others Und. Blank/Abs. Lead
Presidential primaries 30 Jun 2024 42.4% 33.4% 10.5% 1.8% 0.1% 0.3% 1.4% 0.6% 9.0%
Nómade[34] 13–22 Jun 2024 1,124 43.6% 31.5% 8.1% 2.2% 4.0% 6.0% 4.6% 12.1%
Equipos Consultores[35] 29 May–13 Jun 2024 1,413 44% 26% 9% 3% 1% 1% 12% 4% 18%
Factum[36] 1–11 Jun 2024 900 43% 30% 12% 5% 3% 3%[a] 4% 13%
Opción Consultores[37] 15–31 May 2024 1,420 42% 27% 7% 4% 1% 1% 1% 10% 6% 15%
Cifra[38] 16–29 May 2024 1,501 47% 32% 7% 3% 1% 10% 15%
UPC[39] 24–28 May 2024 500 47% 29% 7% 1% 1% 3% 6% 6% 18%
MPC Consultores[40] 20–25 May 2024 900 33% 23% 8% 8% 1% 1% 3%[b] 20% 4% 10%
Factum[41] 19–30 Apr 2024 900 43% 30% 10% 6% 2% 4%[c] 5% 13%
Nómade[42] 25–29 Apr 2024 1,076 41.5% 32.3% 4.2% 3.1% 1.4% 2.7% 14.3% 0.5% 9.2%
Equipos Consultores[43] 11–28 Apr 2024 1,402 43% 29% 7% 3% 2% 12% 4% 14%
UPC[44] 19–23 Apr 2024 500 45% 29% 7% 2% 1% 1% 2% 6% 7% 16%
Cifra[45] 11–22 Apr 2024 1,000 45% 32% 7% 3% 1% 12% 13%
Nómade[46] 10–14 Apr 2024 1,042 46.5% 32.9% 4.7% 2.4% 0.8% 6.0% 6.6% 13.6%
Opción Consultores[47] 1–10 Apr 2024 1,231 43% 28% 8% 3% 1% 2% 9% 6% 15%
MPC Consultores[48] 18–23 Mar 2024 900 34% 23% 7% 9% 1% 1% 3%[b] 19% 3% 11%
Cifra[49] 7–20 Mar 2024 1,198 46% 32% 7% 3% 1% 11% 14%
Factum[50] 20 Feb–2 Mar 2024 900 43% 29% 8% 7% 3% 6% 4% 14%
Opción Consultores[51] 14–28 Feb 2024 800 41% 31% 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 10% 7% 10%
Equipos Consultores[43] 15–27 Feb 2024 1,400 42% 27% 7% 4% 2%[a] 13% 5% 15%
Cifra[52] 1–17 Feb 2024 1,001 47% 31% 6% 2% 2%[d] 1% 11% 16%
MPC Consultores[53] 29 Jan–2 Feb 2024 960 34% 22% 6% 10% 1% 2% 3%[b] 19% 3% 12%
Nómade[54] 22 Jan–2 Feb 2024 839 40.6% 29.7% 4.2% 2.3% 1.3% 3.3%[e] 17.8% 0.8% 10.9%
MPC Consultores[55] 15–20 Dec 2023 900 33% 20% 7% 8% 4% 24% 4% 13%
Factum[56] 17–30 Nov 2023 900 42% 26% 9% 7% 3% 5% 5% 3% 16%
Equipos Consultores[57] 16–29 Nov 2023 1,204 45% 29% 7% 2% 2% 12% 3% 16%
Opción Consultores[58] 4–20 Nov 2023 800 44% 30% 6% 3% 1% 3% 7% 6% 14%
UPC[59][60] 10–14 Nov 2023 500 45% 27% 5% 3% 1% 2%[d] 2% 7% 8% 18%
Nómade[61] 6–11 Nov 2023 975 41.6% 23.0% 4.3% 3.7% 1.1% 1.8% 23.3% 1.2% 18.6%
Cifra[62] 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 1,002 44% 31% 6% 2% 1%[d] 1% 15% 13%
Equipos Consultores[63] 5–18 Oct 2023 1,204 40% 29% 4% 2% 1% 1% 17% 6% 11%
UPC[64] 15–19 Sep 2023 400 45% 29% 6% 3% 0% 1% 1% 2% 6% 7% 16%
Factum[65] 21 Aug–6 Sep 2023 900 41% 28% 7% 8% 3% 3% 8% 2% 13%
Cifra[66] 17–31 Aug 2023 1,000 42% 30% 4% 2% 1% 21% 12%
Equipos Consultores[67] 10–23 Aug 2023 1,204 43% 26% 7% 3% 1% 1% 1%[a] 15% 3% 17%
Nómade[68] 19–23 Jul 2023 902 40.6% 25.9% 3.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.9% 22.3% 1.7% 14.7%
Cifra[69] 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 1,009 44% 27% 6% 2% 2%[d] 1% 18% 17%
Factum[70] 21–28 Jun 2023 900 40% 26% 9% 7% 4% 4% 7% 3% 14%
Equipos Consultores[71] 2–16 Jun 2023 1,207 43% 28% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 12% 5% 15%
UPC[72] 2–6 Jun 2023 400 45% 29% 5% 4% 1% 3% 7% 6% 16%
Opción Consultores[73] 15–22 May 2023 849 42% 30% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 11% 6% 12%
Factum[74] 24 Apr–11 May 2023 900 41% 23% 8% 11% 4% 3% 7% 3% 18%
Cifra[75] 20 Apr–3 May 2023 987 41% 30% 3% 4% 2%[d] 1% 19% 11%
Equipos Consultores[76] 11–24 Apr 2023 1,204 42% 28% 5% 2% 1% 15% 7% 14%
Nómade[77] 3–17 Apr 2023 803 43.7% 29.0% 4.3% 5.3% 2.1% 0.8% 12.5% 2.3% 14.7%
Latinobarómetro[78] 2–28 Mar 2023 1,200 34.9% 24.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 1.7% 18.4% 16.3% 10%
Cifra[79] 15–27 Feb 2023 1,007 43% 30% 3% 2% 2%[d] 1% 19% 13%
Factum[80] 11–20 Feb 2023 1,000 41% 26% 6% 9% 4% 4% 7% 3% 15%
Equipos Consultores[81] Feb 2023 43% 24% 9% 3% 1%[d] 1% 1% n/a n/a 19%
Nómade[82] 3–17 Jan 2023 828 43.1% 27.8% 4.9% 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%[f] 14.1% 1.3% 15.3%
Equipos Consultores[83] Dec 2022 44% 23% 6% 4% 1% 1% 16% 5% 21%
Opción Consultores[84] 2–10 Nov 2022 40% 28% 6% 5% 1% 1% 1% 12% 6% 12%
Cifra[85] 20–31 Oct 2022 810 43% 31% 4% 2% 1%[d] 1% 18% 12%
Factum[86] 4–16 Oct 2022 800 41% 27% 8% 8% 3% 3% 7% 3% 14%
Equipos Consultores[87] 24 Jul–8 Oct 2022 1,900 38% 28% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2% 20% 5% 10%
Factum[88] 3–13 Jun 2022 900 39% 28% 8% 8% 3% 3% 7% 4% 11%
Equipos Consultores[89] 23 Apr–7 May 2022 1,195 35% 25% 5% 2% 1% 25% 7% 10%
Factum[90] 6–15 Nov 2021 900 39% 30% 8% 9% 1% 2% 2% 7% 2% 9%
Equipos Consultores[91] Jul–Sep 2021 1,500 35% 30% 4% 3% 1% 1% 19% 7% 5%
Opción Consultores[92] 13–20 May 2021 824 34% 33% 5% 5% 1% 1% 2% 11% 8% 1%
2019 election, 1st round 27 October 2019 39.0% 28.6% 12.3% 11.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 3.6% 10.4%

Party polling with hypothetical presidential candidates

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
FA PN PC CA PERI PI Lead
Orsi Cosse Delgado Raffo
Equipos Consultores[93] 15–27 Feb 2024 1,400 44% 26% 5% 9% 2% 18%
45% 22% 8% 10% 3% 23%
37% 30% 6% 10% 2% 7%
37% 21% 10% 11% 5% 16%
Opción Consultores[51] 14–28 Feb 2024 800 40% 33% 4% 5% 1% 3% 7%
39% 35% 6% 5% 1% 3% 4%
Equipos Consultores[94] 16–29 Nov 2023 1,204 47% 29% 5% 7% 3% 18%
46% 24% 8% 8% 4% 22%
42% 31% 7% 7% 4% 11%
42% 24% 10% 7% 5% 18%
Opción Consultores[95] 4–20 Nov 2023 800 45% 27% 8% 6% 1% 4% 18%
39% 31% 6% 6% 1% 6% 8%
Equipos Consultores[96] 2–16 Jun 2023 1,207 46% 26% 11% 5% 4% 20%
46% 20% 13% 7% 4% 26%
39% 25% 13% 6% 6% 14%
41% 21% 16% 7% 5% 20%
Opción Consultores[97] 23 May–1 Jun 2022 800 40% 22% 12% 8% 1% 3% 18%
39% 23% 13% 9% 2% 3% 16%

Presidential polling with hypothetical candidates

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
FA PN PC CA Other Und. Blank/
Abs.
Orsi Cosse Bergara Other FA Delgado Raffo Argimón Other PN Bordaberry Other PC Manini Other CA
Presidential primaries 30 Jun 2024 25.1% 15.9% 1.3% 24.9% 6.4% 2.1% 10.5%[g] 1.8% 1.8% 0.6%
Cifra[98] 1–17 Feb 2024 1,001 24% 11% 1% 2% 18% 6% 2%[h] 1%[i] 2% 2%[j] 30%
Cifra[99] 17 Oct–3 Nov 2023 1,002 20% 9% 1% 5% 12% 4% 1% 4%[k] 1%[i] 3% 1%[j] 38%
Cifra[100] 17–31 Aug 2023 1,000 23% 8% 1% 5% 12% 4% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1%[j] 37%
Cifra[101] 15 Jun–2 Jul 2023 1,009 20% 12% 1% 7% 10% 5% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1%[j] 35%
Cifra[102] 20 Apr–3 May 2023 987 22% 10% 1% 4% 13% 4% 1% 3% 2% 4% 2%[j] 34%
Nómade[77] 3–17 Apr 2023 803 17.2% 11.2% 0.7% 0.7%[l] 5.7% 0.6% 5.3%[m] 0.9% 4.0% 4.5% 45.9% 3.3%
Cifra[103] 4–14 Aug 2022 704 17.5% 8.9% 9.9% 9.6% 2.7% 1.3% 7.7%[n] 3.0% 2.8% 2.8%[j] 33.8%
Opción Consultores[97] 23 May–1 Jun 2022 800 9% 6% [o] 8% 5% [p] 1% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1%[j] 62%

Second round

[edit]
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
FA PN Und. Blank/
Abs.
Lead
Orsi Cosse Delgado Raffo
UPC[104] 18–22 Oct 2024 500 49% 41% 10% 8%
Opción Consultores[105] 23 Sep–3 Oct 2024 1,232 48% 41% 5% 6% 7%
UPC[17] 27–30 Sep 2024 500 50% 40% 10% 10%
UPC[22] 29 Aug–1 Sep 2024 500 49% 39% 12% 10%
Opción Consultores[25] 15–27 Aug 2024 1,200 48% 41% 4% 7% 7%
Factum[106] 28 Jul–8 Aug 2024 900 50% 46% 4% 4%
Nómade[28] 29 Jul–4 Aug 2024 1,730 51.5% 34.2% 7.4% 6.9% 17.3%
Opción Consultores[31] 15–25 Jul 2024 1,000 50% 38% 6% 7% 12%
MPC Consultores[32] 10–14 Jul 2024 1,000 36% 39% 20% 5% 3%
MPC Consultores[40] 20–25 May 2024 900 43–48%[q] 47–52%[r] 3–5% 2%
Cifra[107] 16–28 May 2024 1,503 50% 39% 11% 11%
45% 45% 10% Tie
Nómade[46] 10–14 Apr 2024 1,042 53.4% 46.6% 7%
48.7% 51.3% 17%
Equipos Consultores[93] 15–27 Feb 2024 1,400 48% 41% 7% 4% 7%
52% 35% 8% 5% 17%
42% 44% 8% 6% 2%
42% 39% 9% 10% 3%
Notes
  1. ^ a b c 1% for Popular Unity
  2. ^ a b c 1% for Constitutional Environmentalist Party and 1% for Sovereign Identity Party
  3. ^ 2% for Popular Unity
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h Unspecified or other Multicolor parties
  5. ^ 1.1% for Constitutional Environmentalist Party
  6. ^ 0.3% for Green Animalist Party
  7. ^ 4.1% for Andrés Ojeda Spitz
  8. ^ 1% for Jorge Gandini and 1% for Juan Sartori
  9. ^ a b 1% for Robert Silva
  10. ^ a b c d e f g A different Multicolor candidate
  11. ^ 1% for Jorge Gandini
  12. ^ 0.7% for Óscar Andrade
  13. ^ 5.3% of respondents named incumbent president Luis Lacalle Pou, who is ineligible for re-election
  14. ^ 7.7% of respondents named incumbent president Luis Lacalle Pou, who is ineligible for re-election
  15. ^ included with other FA
  16. ^ included with other FN
  17. ^ Generic FA candidate
  18. ^ Generic Multicolor candidate

Results

[edit]
PartyPresidential candidateFirst roundSecond roundSeats
Votes%Votes%Chamber+/-Senate+/-
Broad FrontYamandú Orsi1,058,62546.23048+616+3
National PartyÁlvaro Delgado644,63828.15029–19–1
Colorado PartyAndrés Ojeda385,96216.8517+45+1
Sovereign IdentityGustavo Salle64,7832.832+20+0
Open CabildoGuido Manini Ríos59,0302.582–90–3
Independent PartyPablo Mieres41,2231.801±00±
Environmental Constitutional PartyEduardo Lust11,6950.510±00±0
Popular AssemblyGonzalo Martínez9,9580.430±00±0
Intransigent Radical Ecologist PartyCésar Vega9,1550.400–10±0
For Necessary ChangesGuillermo Franchi3,1280.140±00±0
Republican Advance PartyMartín Pérez Banchero1,8700.080±00±0
Total2,290,067100.0009912304
Valid votes2,290,06793.73
Invalid/blank votes153,3116.27
Total votes2,443,378100.00
Registered voters/turnout2,727,12089.60
Source: Corte Electoral (First Round) El Observador (Chamber and Senate)

General Assembly

[edit]

The Broad Front won 16 of 30 seats in the Senate, while no group secured a majority in the Chamber of Representatives.[8]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ "Uruguay facing general elections in October". www.radiohc.cu. Retrieved 14 September 2024.
  2. ^ "Uruguay's leftist coalition eyeing return to power in October". BNamericas.com. Retrieved 14 September 2024.
  3. ^ "Uruguay election: Voters in one of Latin America's strongest democracies pick between 2 centrists". Associated Press. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
  4. ^ Batschke, Nayara; Debre, Isabel (27 October 2024). "Polls open in stable Uruguay in a vote free of political hostility seen elsewhere in the region". Associated Press. Retrieved 27 October 2024.
  5. ^ Electoral system IPU
  6. ^ Electoral system IPU
  7. ^ Díaz Campanella, Gabriel (29 October 2024). "Uruguay's José Mujica steps in to help Broad Front mobilize voters ahead of runoff vote". El País. Retrieved 29 October 2024.
  8. ^ a b Batschke, Nayara; Debre, Isabel (29 October 2024). "Uruguay's presidential runoff will be tight. But with rivals in agreement, it's no nail-biter". Associated Press. Retrieved 29 October 2024.
  9. ^ "Intención de Voto – Octubre 2024".
  10. ^ "24/10/2024 – 47% votaría al Frente Amplio y 25% al Partido Nacional el próximo domingo, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish). 4 October 2024.
  11. ^ "Ultima estimación de voto por partido". portal.factum.uy.
  12. ^ "Proyección de Equipos Consultores: FA: 45,8% PN: 24,8%, PC: 17,7%" (in Spanish).
  13. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO EL 27 DE OCTUBRE" (in Spanish).
  14. ^ "INVESTIGACION NACIONAL MPC OCTUBRE 2024". 13 October 2024.
  15. ^ "Estimación de voto por partido – Octubre 2024". portal.factum.uy.
  16. ^ "Intención de Voto: Primera Vuelta y Balotaje – Setiembre 2024".
  17. ^ a b "03/10/2024 – Yamandú Orsi derrotaría por diez puntos a Álvaro Delgado en un eventual balotaje, según encuesta de la Usina" (in Spanish). 4 October 2024.
  18. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  19. ^ "Intención de voto en setiembre: el Frente Amplio registra 43%, y la suma de los partidos de la Coalición 40%" (in Spanish).
  20. ^ "Investigación Nacional MPC Septiembre 2024". 16 September 2024.
  21. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  22. ^ a b "05/09/2024 – El FA alcanzaría 47% de los votos y la coalición oficialista 40%, según encuesta de la Usina" (in Spanish). 5 September 2024.
  23. ^ "En agosto 41% votaría al Frente Amplio y 38% a los partidos de la Coalición Multicolor" (in Spanish).
  24. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  25. ^ a b "Intención de Voto: Primera Vuelta y Balotaje – Agosto 2024".
  26. ^ "Investigación Nacional MPC Agosto 2024". 12 August 2024.
  27. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  28. ^ a b "Cae la intención de voto al Partido Nacional" (in Spanish). 8 August 2024.
  29. ^ "Intención de voto en julio: 43% votaría al Frente Amplio y 37% a los partidos de la Coalición Multicolor" (in Spanish).
  30. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  31. ^ a b "Intención de Voto: Primera Vuelta y Balotaje – Julio 2024".
  32. ^ a b "INVESTIGACIÓN NACIONAL MPC JULIO 2024". 14 July 2024.
  33. ^ "19/07/2024 – Elecciones nacionales: FA tiene 48% de intención de voto y la coalición multicolor 38%, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish). 29 July 2024.
  34. ^ "Encuesta de Nómade: Orsi crece en interna del FA entre los que probablemente vayan a votar" (in Spanish).
  35. ^ "Simpatía política por partido en junio: FA 44%, Partidos de la coalición 39%" (in Spanish).
  36. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  37. ^ "Preferencias Partidarias – Mayo 2024".
  38. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  39. ^ "En las internas, Yamandú Orsi recoge 55% de las adhesiones del FA y Carolina Cosse 41%; Álvaro Delgado reúne tres de cada cuatro votos del Partido Nacional" (in Spanish). 27 June 2024.
  40. ^ a b "Investigación Nacional MPC Mayo 2024". 28 May 2024.
  41. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  42. ^ "Intención de voto: crecen los apoyos partidarios, y la coalición supera al Frente Amplio" (in Spanish). 9 May 2024.
  43. ^ a b "SIMPATÍA POLÍTICA POR PARTIDO: FA 42%, PN 27%, PC 7%, CA 4%" (in Spanish).
  44. ^ "02/05/2024 – FA tiene 45% de intención de voto y partidos de la coalición suman 39%, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish). 20 May 2024.
  45. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  46. ^ a b "Uruguay: una encuesta proyecta un triunfo por 7 puntos de la oposición en segunda vuelta" (in Spanish).
  47. ^ "Preferencias Partidarias – Febrero 2024".
  48. ^ "Investigación Nacional MPC Abril 2024". April 2024.
  49. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  50. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  51. ^ a b "Preferencias Partidarias – Febrero 2024".
  52. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  53. ^ "Investigación Nacional MPC Febrero 2024". 5 February 2024.
  54. ^ "Se fortalecen las precandidaturas con mayor adhesión" (in Spanish). 14 March 2024.
  55. ^ "Investigación Nacional MPC Diciembre 2023". 26 December 2023.
  56. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  57. ^ "SIMPATÍA POLÍTICA POR PARTIDO: FA 45%, PN 29%, PC 7%, CA 2%" (in Spanish).
  58. ^ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto dice la última encuesta de Opción". El País. 21 December 2023.
  59. ^ "Según Usina de Percepción Ciudadana el Frente Amplio llega a 45% de intención de voto y la coalición suma 37%" (in Spanish).
  60. ^ "Elecciones 2024: Frente Amplio lidera preferencias con el 45 % según encuesta de la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish).
  61. ^ "El 17,5% de quienes fueron encuestados no sabe a qué partido votaría" (in Spanish). 4 December 2023.
  62. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  63. ^ "¿QUÉ VOTARÍAN LOS URUGUAYOS SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY?" (in Spanish).
  64. ^ "45% votaría al Frente Amplio y 29% al Partido Nacional en las elecciones de 2024, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish).
  65. ^ "Intención de voto por partido – 4º Bimestre 2023" (in Spanish).
  66. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  67. ^ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto revela una nueva encuesta de Equipos" (in Spanish). 15 September 2023.
  68. ^ "Intención de voto: el Frente Amplio mantiene ventaja sobre la coalición de gobierno" (in Spanish). 8 August 2023.
  69. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  70. ^ "Intención de voto por partido – 3er Bimestre 2023" (in Spanish).
  71. ^ "¿A qué partido votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? Esto concluyó una nueva encuesta de Equipos" (in Spanish).
  72. ^ "Elecciones 2024: el 45% votaría al Frente Amplio y el 29% al Partido Nacional" (in Spanish).
  73. ^ "¿A qué partido votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran este domingo?". El Observador.
  74. ^ "Intención de voto por partido – 2º Bimestre" (in Spanish).
  75. ^ "Intención de voto: "empate técnico" entre coalición y Frente Amplio, según la última encuesta de Cifra" (in Spanish). 3 May 2023.
  76. ^ "SIMPATÍA POLÍTICA POR PARTIDO: FA 42%, PN 28%, PC 5%, CA 2%, PI 1%" (in Spanish).
  77. ^ a b "La intención de voto al Frente Amplio supera a la de la coalición" (in Spanish). 24 April 2023.
  78. ^ "Latinobarómetro 2023. Uruguay. Estudio nº LAT-2023 v1_0" (in Spanish).
  79. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  80. ^ "La coalición de gobierno suma 45% de intención de voto y el Frente Amplio 41%, según la última encuesta de Factum" (in Spanish).
  81. ^ "Encuesta Equipos: FA 43%, Partido Nacional 24%, Partido Colorado 9%, Cabildo Abierto 3%" (in Spanish). 14 March 2023.
  82. ^ "Yamandú Orsi y Álvaro Delgado lideran la intención de voto dentro de sus partidos" (in Spanish). 20 March 2023.
  83. ^ "Encuesta de Equipos coloca al FA a la cabeza de la preferencia electoral, con 44 %" (in Spanish).
  84. ^ "Opción: el FA reúne 40% de la intención de voto, mientras que los blancos llegan a 28%". Montevideo Portal.
  85. ^ "INTENCIÓN DE VOTO "SI LAS ELECCIONES FUERAN HOY"" (in Spanish).
  86. ^ "Intención de voto por partido – Octubre 2022" (in Spanish).
  87. ^ "Encuesta de Equipos Consultores: FA 38%, PN 28%, PC 5%, CA 3%, 1% PI y 1% PERI" (in Spanish).
  88. ^ "Intención de voto: FA 39%; PN 28%; CA y PC 8% cada uno" (in Spanish).
  89. ^ "¿Qué votarían los uruguayos si las elecciones fueran hoy? La última encuesta de Equipos Consultores" (in Spanish). 17 May 2022.
  90. ^ "Intención de voto por partido - Noviembre 2021" (in Spanish).
  91. ^ "A dos años de las elecciones de 2019: ¿qué votarían hoy los uruguayos?". subrayado.com.uy (in Spanish). 27 October 2021. Retrieved 14 December 2021.
  92. ^ "Preferencias Partidarias - Mayo 2021". 6 July 2021.
  93. ^ a b "Encuesta de Equipos compara escenarios para las elecciones de octubre y noviembre según el candidato de cada partido" (in Spanish).
  94. ^ "El Frente Amplio lidera otra encuesta de intención de voto" (in Spanish). 26 December 2023.
  95. ^ "Preferencias Partidarias – Diciembre 2023" (in Spanish).
  96. ^ "Encuesta de Equipos Consultores compara escenarios para las elecciones según el candidato de cada partido" (in Spanish).
  97. ^ a b "Preferencias presidenciales y escenarios de intención de voto" (in Spanish).
  98. ^ "LAS INTERNAS AL ARRANQUE FORMAL DE LA CAMPAÑA" (in Spanish).
  99. ^ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
  100. ^ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
  101. ^ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
  102. ^ "LOS PRE CANDIDATOS HOY" (in Spanish).
  103. ^ "PRESIDENTE PREFERIDO PARA EL PROXIMO PERIODO" (in Spanish).
  104. ^ "24/10/2024 – 47% votaría al Frente Amplio y 25% al Partido Nacional el próximo domingo, según la Usina de Percepción Ciudadana" (in Spanish). 4 October 2024.
  105. ^ "Intención de Voto: Primera Vuelta y Balotaje – Setiembre 2024".
  106. ^ "Portal FACTUM | Uruguay". portal.factum.uy.
  107. ^ "Yamandú Orsi tendría ventaja en un eventual balotaje, según una encuesta de Cifra". 24 June 2024.